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Published
2026 Projection Engine
Methodology validation for Ball Street's 2026 fantasy football projections — team output modeling, feature importance, SHAPE integration, and final player rankings.
SHAPE Score Derivation
The statistical correlations and methodology behind each SHAPE component weighting — how we quantify Situation, Health, Athleticism, Production, and Efficiency.
Target Share Leaders by Position
The players commanding the largest share of their team passing game, broken down by position rank.
Coming Soon (16 articles in development)
Positional Career Curves: Where Is the Cliff?
Position-by-position aging curves for fantasy production, identifying the peak window and decline age for QBs, RBs, WRs, and TEs.
When to Compete, Re-Tool, or Rebuild in Dynasty
A data-driven framework for evaluating your dynasty roster's competitive window and choosing the right strategic path.
Coaching Hire Impact on Fantasy Value: A Historical Study
When a team hires a new head coach or coordinator, which fantasy positions benefit most — and how quickly?
What Coaching Schemes Produce the Most Fantasy-Relevant Players?
A breakdown of offensive scheme families and their historical impact on QB, RB, WR, and TE fantasy production.
EPA Per Play: The Stat That Predicts Fantasy Scores Before Box Scores
Expected Points Added per play reveals which players are creating real value — not just accumulating volume.
The Running Back Shelf Life Study
How long do RBs actually produce at a fantasy-relevant level? A historical analysis of workload, age, and decline patterns.
Success Rate vs. Fantasy Points: Finding Players Who Outperform Their Hype
Success rate reveals which players are genuinely efficient and which are living off volume or big-play variance.
Can Vegas Lines Predict Fantasy Success?
How game totals, spreads, and implied team totals correlate with fantasy scoring — and how to exploit the edges.
Week X Waiver Wire Targets
Data-driven waiver wire pickups ranked by opportunity, efficiency, and matchup for this week.
Zero RB Strategy: Does the Data Support It?
A decade of draft data analyzed to determine when Zero RB works, when it fails, and exactly which rounds create the largest edge.
Coaching Continuity Index
Which offenses have the most stable coaching staffs — and how continuity correlates with year-over-year production.
The Rookie Slot Effect
Historical baselines for every rookie draft slot — what a Round 1 RB, Round 2 WR, or Round 3 TE actually produces.
Team Composite Grades
Every team graded A+ through F on offense, defense, and coaching, with Pythagorean expected wins.
The Aging Curve: When Position Groups Cliff
When does each position fall off a cliff? Position-by-position median fantasy PPG by age, derived from 10 seasons of NFL data.
Rookie Year Production: Round-by-Round
What does a Round 1 RB actually do as a rookie? Round 2 WR? Hit rates and median production for every position-round bucket.
Dynasty Trade Value Tiers
Where players cluster in dynasty value space. Tier breaks define which players are interchangeable in trade discussions and which are clear upgrades.